Polymarket (Global)
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
Hike–Pause–Hike
Updated 1h ago · Settles Dec 9, 26 · archived
Polymarket (Global) YES
61¢
Bid 60¢ · Ask 62¢
Pricedger fair probability
61%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-0.8 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
41,358
Fine-print risk
2/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9. A qualifying cut occurs when the…
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