Polymarket (Global)
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
David Crowley (D)
Updated 9m ago · Settles Nov 4, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
81¢
Bid 80¢ · Ask 82¢
Pricedger fair probability
84%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.8 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
364,144
Fine-print risk
18/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the "Demo…
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