Polymarket (Global)

Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?

Chris Pappas (D)

Updated 1h ago · Settles Nov 4, 26 · archived

Polymarket (Global) YES

90¢

Bid 89¢ · Ask 90¢

Pricedger fair probability

93%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+3.1 pts

On YES after fees · medium confidence

Volume

157,050

Fine-print risk

18/100

Resolution-rule audit

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Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology