Polymarket (Global)

Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?

Peggy Flanagan (D)

Updated 5m ago · Settles Nov 4, 26

Polymarket (Global) YES

86¢

Bid 85¢ · Ask 87¢

Pricedger fair probability

89%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+2.2 pts

On YES after fees · low confidence

Volume

113,902

Fine-print risk

18/100

Resolution-rule audit

Resolution rules — summary

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents wil…

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