Polymarket (Global)
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
Updated 4m ago · Settles Nov 4, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
73¢
Bid 72¢ · Ask 73¢
Pricedger fair probability
75%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.5 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
790,761
Fine-print risk
18/100
Resolution-rule audit
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