Polymarket (Global)
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
Rob Sand (D)
Updated 4m ago · Settles Nov 4, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
86¢
Bid 85¢ · Ask 86¢
Pricedger fair probability
89%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+2.7 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
70,448
Fine-print risk
18/100
Resolution-rule audit
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