Polymarket (Global)

Will the Democratic Party win the NM-02 House seat?

Gabe Vasquez (D)

Updated 1h ago · Settles Nov 4, 26 · archived

Polymarket (Global) YES

97¢

Bid 96¢ · Ask 97¢

Pricedger fair probability

99%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+2.0 pts

On YES after fees · low confidence

Volume

31,484

Fine-print risk

34/100

Resolution-rule audit

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Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology