Polymarket (Global)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?
Talarico 0-3%
Updated 1m ago · Settles Nov 4, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
22¢
Bid 21¢ · Ask 22¢
Pricedger fair probability
19%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+2.1 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
52,971
Fine-print risk
44/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
The 2026 Texas Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate…
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