Polymarket (Global)
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?
25 bps increase
Updated 14m ago · Settles Oct 28, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
12¢
Bid 11¢ · Ask 13¢
Pricedger fair probability
11%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-0.2 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
47,114
Fine-print risk
19/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight rate resulting from the October 2026 interest rate announcement of the Bank of Canada, relative to the level it was prior to this announcement. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Canada, including the statement or release from its October 2026 interest rate announcement, scheduled for Oct…
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