Polymarket (Global)
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?
25 bps decrease
Updated 14m ago · Settles Nov 4, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
26¢
Bid 25¢ · Ask 27¢
Pricedger fair probability
25%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+0.4 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
41,900
Fine-print risk
19/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the Selic rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Brazil’s Monetary Policy Committee (COPOM), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Brazil, including the statement or release from its November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting,…
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