Polymarket (Global)
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?
5.10%
Updated 27m ago · Settles Dec 31, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
84¢
Bid 83¢ · Ask 84¢
Pricedger fair probability
84%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+0.2 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
30,356
Fine-print risk
2/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not…
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