Polymarket (Global)
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Updated 3m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
98¢
Bid 98¢ · Ask 98¢
Pricedger fair probability
99%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.0 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
603,096
Fine-print risk
30/100
Resolution-rule audit
The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal
Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.
See the full Pricedger analysisResearch and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology