Polymarket (Global)

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?

5.7%

Updated 4m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27

Polymarket (Global) YES

26¢

Bid 26¢ · Ask 26¢

Pricedger fair probability

26%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+0.5 pts

On NO after fees · low confidence

Volume

88,734

Fine-print risk

2/100

Resolution-rule audit

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Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology