Polymarket (Global)

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?

5.4%

Updated 3m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27

Polymarket (Global) YES

77¢

Bid 76¢ · Ask 77¢

Pricedger fair probability

77%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

0.0 pts

On YES after fees · low confidence

Volume

39,105

Fine-print risk

2/100

Resolution-rule audit

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Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology