Polymarket (Global)
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.8% before 2027?
Below 4.8%
Updated 29m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
73¢
Bid 71¢ · Ask 74¢
Pricedger fair probability
73%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-1.0 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
53,641
Fine-print risk
2/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period…
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