Polymarket (Global)
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026
Updated 4m ago · Settles Feb 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
84¢
Bid 83¢ · Ask 84¢
Pricedger fair probability
86%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.5 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
383,305
Fine-print risk
16/100
Resolution-rule audit
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