Polymarket (Global)
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
Updated 37m ago · Settles Feb 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
56¢
Bid 55¢ · Ask 56¢
Pricedger fair probability
56%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-0.2 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
274,757
Fine-print risk
12/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve t…
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