Polymarket (Global)

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

Updated 18m ago · Settles Feb 1, 27

Polymarket (Global) YES

58¢

Bid 57¢ · Ask 58¢

Pricedger fair probability

58%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

0.0 pts

On YES after fees · low confidence

Volume

85,601

Fine-print risk

12/100

Resolution-rule audit

Resolution rules — summary

This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the rele…

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