Polymarket (Global)
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
Updated 1h ago · Settles Jan 1, 27 · archived
Polymarket (Global) YES
38¢
Bid 37¢ · Ask 39¢
Pricedger fair probability
37%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-0.3 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
74,948
Fine-print risk
12/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will re…
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