Polymarket (Global)
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
Updated 26m ago · Settles Jan 8, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
96¢
Bid 95¢ · Ask 96¢
Pricedger fair probability
99%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+3.0 pts
On YES after fees · medium confidence
Volume
686,490
Fine-print risk
14/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film tha…
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