Polymarket (Global)
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
SpaceX
Updated 47m ago · Settles Jan 2, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
46¢
Bid 45¢ · Ask 47¢
Pricedger fair probability
46%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-0.8 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
928,690
Fine-print risk
2/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026. This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing sha…
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