Polymarket (Global)

Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Save the Children

Updated 4m ago · Settles Oct 10, 26

Polymarket (Global) YES

7¢

Bid 7¢ · Ask 7¢

Pricedger fair probability

5%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+2.2 pts

On NO after fees · low confidence

Volume

50,749

Fine-print risk

12/100

Resolution-rule audit

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Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology