Polymarket (Global)

Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Saudi Arabia

Updated 22m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27

Polymarket (Global) YES

5¢

Bid 4¢ · Ask 5¢

Pricedger fair probability

2%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+2.2 pts

On NO after fees · low confidence

Volume

405,508

Fine-print risk

30/100

Resolution-rule audit

Resolution rules — summary

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or thei…

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