Polymarket (Global)
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?
June 30, 2027
Updated 1h ago · Settles Jul 1, 27 · archived
Polymarket (Global) YES
39¢
Bid 38¢ · Ask 40¢
Pricedger fair probability
38%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
-0.3 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
100,278
Fine-print risk
14/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito w…
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