Polymarket (Global)
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?
Sloviansk
Updated 2m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
9¢
Bid 8¢ · Ask 10¢
Pricedger fair probability
6%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+2.3 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
187,725
Fine-print risk
50/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Sloviansk (48.853751256046095° N, 37.60508085394494° E; https://maps.app.goo.gl/Kx9MMw32sFDPUt8f9) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/…
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