Polymarket (Global)
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?
Druzkhivka
Updated 14m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
34¢
Bid 33¢ · Ask 34¢
Pricedger fair probability
32%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+0.8 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
307,598
Fine-print risk
50/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Druzkhivka (48.61631417285371° N, 37.528161462381036° E; https://maps.app.goo.gl/cH9ekgbf9qbxGPUk6) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com…
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