Polymarket (Global)

Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?

October 31

Updated 1h ago · Settles Nov 1, 26 · archived

Polymarket (Global) YES

15¢

Bid 14¢ · Ask 15¢

Pricedger fair probability

12%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+2.3 pts

On NO after fees · low confidence

Volume

41,169

Fine-print risk

58/100

Resolution-rule audit

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Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology