Polymarket (Global)
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by March 31, 2027?
March 31, 2027
Updated 13m ago · Settles Apr 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
24¢
Bid 23¢ · Ask 24¢
Pricedger fair probability
21%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.6 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
64,069
Fine-print risk
58/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the railroad station (48.578748° N, 37.616899° E) located in Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka, Donetsk Oblast, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The train station will be considered captured if any part of the icon is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448…
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