Polymarket (Global)
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?
December 31
Updated 2m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
8¢
Bid 7¢ · Ask 9¢
Pricedger fair probability
5%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+2.4 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
70,954
Fine-print risk
58/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kupyansjk-Vuzlovij railroad station located between Zaliznychna Vulytsia and Zaliznychnykiv Ploshcha (49.654359° N, 37.644326° E) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (h…
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