Polymarket (Global)
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?
December 31
Updated 4m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
17¢
Bid 16¢ · Ask 18¢
Pricedger fair probability
14%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.6 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
32,584
Fine-print risk
58/100
Resolution-rule audit
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