Polymarket (Global)
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?
December 31
Updated 33m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
59¢
Bid 58¢ · Ask 59¢
Pricedger fair probability
59%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+0.2 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
59,472
Fine-print risk
52/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Bilytske, Donetsk Oblast (48.40731° N, 37.17956° E) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Bilytske will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the res…
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