Polymarket (Global)

Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?

December 31

Updated 4m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27

Polymarket (Global) YES

11¢

Bid 10¢ · Ask 12¢

Pricedger fair probability

8%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+2.1 pts

On NO after fees · low confidence

Volume

147,926

Fine-print risk

42/100

Resolution-rule audit

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Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology