Polymarket (Global)

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?

October 15

Updated 4m ago · Settles Oct 16, 26

Polymarket (Global) YES

13¢

Bid 11¢ · Ask 14¢

Pricedger fair probability

10%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+1.5 pts

On NO after fees · low confidence

Volume

30,207

Fine-print risk

40/100

Resolution-rule audit

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Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology