Polymarket (Global)

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?

November 30

Updated 15m ago · Settles Dec 1, 26

Polymarket (Global) YES

52¢

Bid 50¢ · Ask 53¢

Pricedger fair probability

52%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

-1.4 pts

On YES after fees · low confidence

Volume

28,331

Fine-print risk

40/100

Resolution-rule audit

Resolution rules — summary

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relatio…

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