Polymarket (Global)

Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?

October 15

Updated 44m ago · Settles Oct 16, 26

Polymarket (Global) YES

99¢

Bid 97¢ · Ask 100¢

Pricedger fair probability

99%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

-1.0 pts

On YES after fees · low confidence

Volume

36,391

Fine-print risk

21/100

Resolution-rule audit

Resolution rules — summary

This market will resolve to "Yes" if no flight departs from Riyadh's King Khalid International Airport (RUH) for a period of at least 24 consecutive hours, where that period begins between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Departures will be evaluated as displayed by FlightAware on its King Khalid Int'l Airport (Riyadh) RUH airport page (https://www.fli…

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Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology