Polymarket (Global)
Will Republicans win white voters in the midterms?
Republicans
Updated 53m ago · Settles Nov 7, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
96¢
Bid 94¢ · Ask 97¢
Pricedger fair probability
98%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.2 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
40,043
Fine-print risk
12/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white voters in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN. This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026. In the even…
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