Polymarket (Global)
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?
≤46 and ≤192
Updated 20m ago · Settles Nov 4, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
34¢
Bid 33¢ · Ask 35¢
Pricedger fair probability
33%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+0.4 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
63,276
Fine-print risk
50/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of the Republican Party’s seat count in the US House of Representatives and the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections. The Senate seat count includes all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress and are scheduled to…
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