Polymarket (Global)
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?
Remain 20–40%
Updated 13m ago · Settles Oct 20, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
10¢
Bid 8¢ · Ask 12¢
Pricedger fair probability
8%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
0.0 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
40,857
Fine-print risk
47/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
Alberta is scheduled to hold a provincial referendum on October 19, 2026. Question 10 asks: "Should Alberta remain a province in Canada, or should the Government of Alberta commence the legal process required under the Canadian Constitution to hold a binding provincial referendum on whether or not Alberta should separate from Canada?" For the purposes of this market, "Remain" refers to the option that Alberta should…
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