Polymarket (Global)
Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?
Raphael Glucksmann
Updated 14m ago · Settles Oct 10, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
83¢
Bid 81¢ · Ask 84¢
Pricedger fair probability
85%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.4 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
30,801
Fine-print risk
8/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is expected to hold a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections in October 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) to contest the 2027 French presidential elections. If no nominee is announced by April 17, 2027, 11:59PM Paris time,…
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