Polymarket (Global)

Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Rafael Grossi

Updated 5m ago · Settles Dec 31, 26

Polymarket (Global) YES

12¢

Bid 11¢ · Ask 12¢

Pricedger fair probability

8%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

+2.6 pts

On NO after fees · low confidence

Volume

60,031

Fine-print risk

52/100

Resolution-rule audit

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Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology