Polymarket (Global)
Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government?
Ra'am
Updated 15m ago · Settles Jun 30, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
23¢
Bid 21¢ · Ask 24¢
Pricedger fair probability
21%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+0.2 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
48,057
Fine-print risk
40/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
Parliamentary elections to elect the 26th Knesset are scheduled to take place on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party or electoral list is included in the first Israeli government formed after the 2026 Knesset election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market may resolve once the composition of the first Israeli government following the 2026 Knesset elec…
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