Polymarket (Global)

Will Putin hold a bilateral meeting with Alexander Lukashenko in Turkmenistan?

Alexander Lukashenko

Updated 57m ago · Settles Oct 11, 26

Polymarket (Global) YES

47¢

Bid 14¢ · Ask 79¢

Pricedger fair probability

46%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

-32.3 pts

On NO after fees · low confidence

Volume

35,937

Fine-print risk

40/100

Resolution-rule audit

Resolution rules — summary

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin holds a bilateral meeting with the listed individual in Turkmenistan between market creation and October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Vladimir Putin is scheduled to visit Turkmenistan on October 8–9, 2026, including for the meeting of the CIS Council of Heads of State in Avaza on October 9. A bilateral meeting is a meeting be…

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