Polymarket (Global)
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?
PP
Updated 13m ago · Settles Nov 30, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
80¢
Bid 79¢ · Ask 80¢
Pricedger fair probability
82%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+2.2 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
36,320
Fine-print risk
44/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
Legislative elections to elect the 350 members of the Congress of Deputies of Spain are scheduled to take place on November 29, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of Deputies of Spain as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by November 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will…
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