Polymarket (Global)
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Pope Leo XIV
Updated 4m ago · Settles Apr 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
2¢
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
Pricedger fair probability
1%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
0.0 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
901,561
Fine-print risk
12/100
Resolution-rule audit
The full Pricedger analysis is inside the terminal
Visible Ensemble consensus, AI Deep Dive with clause-by-clause fine print, whale flow and Smart Money Divergence, cross-exchange gaps, price history and quarter-Kelly paper sizing. 7-day free trial, no card required.
See the full Pricedger analysisResearch and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology