Polymarket (Global)

Will Mark Carney win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Mark Carney

Updated 4m ago · Settles Oct 10, 26

Polymarket (Global) YES

1¢

Bid 1¢ · Ask 1¢

Pricedger fair probability

1%

Deterministic model estimate

Potential edge

0.0 pts

On YES after fees · low confidence

Volume

40,166

Fine-print risk

12/100

Resolution-rule audit

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Research and paper trading only — not financial advice. Model estimates can be wrong. Not affiliated with Kalshi or Polymarket. Methodology