Polymarket (Global)
Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
8-9
Updated just now · Settles Nov 30, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
15¢
Bid 14¢ · Ask 16¢
Pricedger fair probability
13%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.1 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
55,237
Fine-print risk
34/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior t…
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