Polymarket (Global)
Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
6-7
Updated 13m ago · Settles Nov 30, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
87¢
Bid 85¢ · Ask 88¢
Pricedger fair probability
89%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+0.7 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
43,077
Fine-print risk
34/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior t…
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