Polymarket (Global)
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
Updated 5m ago · Settles Jan 1, 27
Polymarket (Global) YES
11¢
Bid 10¢ · Ask 11¢
Pricedger fair probability
8%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.9 pts
On NO after fees · low confidence
Volume
82,470
Fine-print risk
46/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format. Tools or features whose…
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