Polymarket (Global)
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?
October 31, 2026
Updated 12m ago · Settles Nov 1, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
1¢
Bid 1¢ · Ask 1¢
Pricedger fair probability
1%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
0.0 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
173,373
Fine-print risk
8/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly announces and launches a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "consumer hardware product" is defined as a physical device intended for direct use by individual consumers, rather than enterprise or developer tools. The product must be newly introduced and not a rebrand, update, or iteration…
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