Polymarket (Global)
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
Olivia Chow
Updated 9m ago · Settles Oct 27, 26
Polymarket (Global) YES
77¢
Bid 76¢ · Ask 78¢
Pricedger fair probability
79%
Deterministic model estimate
Potential edge
+1.4 pts
On YES after fees · low confidence
Volume
86,220
Fine-print risk
30/100
Resolution-rule audit
Resolution rules — summary
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". T…
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